📐 Formula Modeling Medium

Campus Rumor Spread

Problem Description

A rumor begins spreading on a campus of 2000 students. Initially, 5 students know the rumor. Each day, the number of students who have heard the rumor is recorded. The data shows initial exponential growth that slows as most students have already heard it.

Your tasks:

  1. Identify the mathematical model that describes this growth pattern
  2. Write the differential equation (ODE)
  3. Provide the analytical solution
  4. Estimate the model parameters from the data (K, r, P₀)
  5. Predict: how many days until 90% of students (1800) have heard the rumor?

Observed Data

30 days of observations

Data Table

Day Students who heard

Scoring Rubric

Your Submission

Write the ODE governing the rumor spread in LaTeX

LaTeX preview

Write the solution P(t) in LaTeX

LaTeX preview
people
day⁻¹
people
days

Evaluation Result

AI-powered assessment based on rubric

/100

Overall Assessment

💡 Improvement Suggestions

📌 Reference Answer

Differential Equation (Logistic Growth)

Analytical Solution

Where

K

2000

people

r

0.35

day⁻¹

P₀

5

people

90% Prediction (1800 students)